Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 27.628248 31.387504 35.490498 40.304380 45.802011 51.889870 59.149800
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 23.251227 28.386630 34.420978 42.048071 51.451082 62.689818 77.180920
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 20.099475 26.188062 33.837208 44.184457 57.867875 75.415250 99.741403
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 17.246777 23.875050 32.738776 45.518659 63.576178 88.332358 125.112140
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 15.392183 22.569854 32.756110 48.367484 71.876661 106.256285 160.890596
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 13.407368 20.748326 31.764262 49.648818 78.258191 122.750384 198.167463
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 11.348813 18.466993 29.719889 49.004265 81.659730 135.488338 232.510512
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 9.797643 16.718864 28.214689 48.957305 86.048403 150.706435 274.372582
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 8.894245 15.891631 28.084538 51.217779 94.847331 175.198921 338.153344
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 8.196905 15.304418 28.271475 54.092072 105.363413 204.959726 418.821494
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 7.359493 14.317272 27.568808 55.182343 112.742842 230.345392 496.983376
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 6.420537 12.976057 25.970621 54.221572 115.851494 247.887000 563.022679
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 5.542537 11.633865 24.198124 52.695134 117.761046 263.969797 631.512428
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.926253 10.731120 23.181183 52.622432 122.942905 288.618772 727.196298
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.462079 10.077776 22.589942 53.412714 130.367304 320.338922 849.664166
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.011159 9.376223 21.771952 53.525165 136.243800 349.829979 975.166667
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.740993 9.049709 21.768322 55.650741 147.769336 396.659851 1162.864588
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 3.407773 8.512355 21.164840 56.136484 155.127193 434.311586 1335.765820
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 3.017535 7.764391 19.906420 54.635699 156.700972 456.330255 1468.068838
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.717953 7.198908 19.019014 53.981557 160.596500 486.204247 1635.463596
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.562854 6.992899 19.054569 55.988785 173.001052 545.328636 1921.559699
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.446867 6.874813 19.313317 58.729581 188.430099 618.335819 2282.411494
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 2.274329 6.566109 18.977381 59.584611 198.024813 674.813378 2602.266646